Super Tuesday Results: Key Races to Watch
Last updated June 13, 2024
Super Tuesday Results: Key Races to Watch
Republican Presidential Primaries and Caucuses
Delegates won so far ›
On Super Tuesday, the biggest night on this year’s primary calendar, 854 Republican delegates are at stake across 15 states. This accounts for more than a third of all delegates available in the race for the nomination. Follow live updates from our reporters.
Candidate | March 5 | Overall | Chart of overall delegate count | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump | 801 | 1,074 | ||
Nikki HaleyN. HaleyHaley Nikki HaleyN. HaleyHaley | 51 | 94 | ||
100% of Super Tuesday delegates allocated (852 of 854) |
Results by state
Analysis from our reporters
“Uncommitted” made up nearly 19% of the vote in Minnesota. Seven other states so far have had option to vote uncommitted on their primary ballots. March 6, 2024
![Table showing the share and count of uncommitted votes in eight states. In order from largest to smallest share, the states listed are Minnesota, Michigan, North Carolina, Massachusetts, Colorado, Tennessee, Alabama and Iowa.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MT6JT2B1/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MT6JT2B1-superJumbo.jpg)
Republican Steve Garvey is the second candidate to advance to the general, along with Democrat Adam Schiff. Here’s where each candidate is ahead. March 6, 2024
![Map showing Schiff with more support along the coast and Garvey with more support in the rest of the state.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NT54PQ1E/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NT54PQ1E-superJumbo.jpg)
Precincts with a higher share of young people were more likely to vote “uncommitted,” part of a protest of Biden’s Gaza policy. March 6, 2024
![Chart plotting Minnesota precincts’ uncommitted vote share by share of residents who are 18 to 34 years old.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N483EMNX/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N483EMNX-superJumbo.jpg)
Adam Schiff has advanced to the general election. The top two candidates move on regardless of party, so he will run against whoever wins second. March 5, 2024
![Table showing the votes reported in the California Senate primary. With 36% of the votes tallied, Schiff had 36.9 percent of the vote, Garvey had 29.6 percent, Porter had 14.8 percent and Lee had 6.8 percent.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MPM7EMST/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MPM7EMST-superJumbo.jpg)
Trump has won California and its 169 delegates, the biggest Republican prize of the night. March 5, 2024
![Graphic announcing that Donald J. Trump is the winner of the California Republican Primary.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MPJTNY4F/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MPJTNY4F-superJumbo.jpg)
Shomari Figures and Anthony Daniels have advanced to a runoff. The district is held by a Republican but now favors Democrats after being redrawn. March 5, 2024
![Map showing Daniels and Figures each winning a handful of counties in the district.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N428AE5R/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N428AE5R-superJumbo.png)
Biden has won Minnesota. A quarter of results are left to count, but the “uncommitted” vote share could be higher than it was in Michigan last week. March 5, 2024
![Table showing the votes reported in Minnesota. With 74% of the votes tallied, Biden has about 69% of the votes, and about 20% have voted "uncommitted."](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NSUJRHJ4/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NSUJRHJ4-superJumbo.jpg)
The district was redrawn and now encompasses areas represented by two sitting Republicans. Their support is split down the middle of the new district. March 5, 2024
![Map showing Carl winning in the district's western counties and Moore winning in the eastern counties.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NGQ5QHS5/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NGQ5QHS5-superJumbo.png)
Polls close at 11 p.m. ET in California, but full results won’t be available for a while. Here are the key races to watch. March 5, 2024
![Table with the headline “Primaries to watch in California” showing a Senate race to fill Dianne Feinstein's seat, and 12 House races. Five open House seats are in solidly blue districts, six are rated as tossups, and one is in a solidly red district left vacant by Kevin McCarthy.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N16BN729/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N16BN729-superJumbo.jpg)
We’ve published a new analysis showing support for Trump and Haley from different groups, based on precinct results in four states. March 5, 2024
![Table showing Trump leading in both lower-income and higher-income areas in North Carolina, Oklahoma and Minnesota. In higher-income areas in Virginia, Haley is leading by an estimated 11 point margin.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3VABHRR/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3VABHRR-superJumbo.jpg)
Haley has won Vermont, the first state (in addition to Washington, D.C.) where she has defeated Trump this primary season. March 5, 2024
![Graphic announcing that Nikki Haley is the winner of the Vermont Republican Primary.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NGN7JW3T/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NGN7JW3T-superJumbo.jpg)
In an analysis based on 50% of Vermont towns, Haley’s greatest support has come from those with high shares of college-educated voters. March 5, 2024
![Chart showing that Haley is leading in Vermont towns where there is a higher share of voters with a college degree.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N14U094M/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N14U094M-superJumbo.jpg)
Our estimates now give Haley an almost certain chance of winning Vermont. March 5, 2024
![Chart showing Haley's chance of winning increasing from about 30 percent to more than 95 percent over the course of election night, and Trump's chance decreasing from about 70 percent to less than one percent.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NGM7NLC9/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NGM7NLC9-superJumbo.jpg)
Colin Allred leads in the race to decide who will face Senator Ted Cruz, but he is underperforming along the border. He needs 50% to avoid a runoff. March 5, 2024
![Map showing the results in Texas counties, with Allred ahead in most of the state but trailing in counties close to the southwest border with Mexico.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MXA4TS5U/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MXA4TS5U-superJumbo.png)
Democrat Josh Stein and Republican Mark Robinson won their respective primaries. The general election is expected to be highly competitive. March 5, 2024
![Graphic showing that Josh Stein and Mark Robinson have won their respective primaries.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NGHBLFFT/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NGHBLFFT-superJumbo.jpg)
We’ve published new estimates that show Haley’s chance of winning Vermont. March 5, 2024
![Chart showing Haley's probability of winning Vermont at 74 percent.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3NPQGTD/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3NPQGTD-superJumbo.jpg)
Trump has won Colorado. He is on track to win nearly all counties, though our estimates show Haley taking Denver County. March 5, 2024
![Map showing partial results for the Republican presidential primary in Colorado. Trump is ahead in most counties that have reported.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MP8KE1K9/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MP8KE1K9-superJumbo.png)
About half the vote still remains, but Tony Gonzales, the Republican incumbent, needs to win more than 50% in his primary to avoid a runoff. March 5, 2024
![Table with the headline "Votes reported" that shows incumbent Tony Gonzales with 49.1 percent of the vote with just over half of the vote reported.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3LXGQTV/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3LXGQTV-superJumbo.jpg)
The A.P. has called Massachusetts for Trump. We currently estimate that he will win by more than 20 points. March 5, 2024
![Graphic announcing that Donald J. Trump is the winner of the Massachusetts Republican Primary.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NGCJ05FT/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NGCJ05FT-superJumbo.jpg)
With just 1% of votes in, Trump’s reported lead in Massachusetts is +10 points. But we think the remaining votes favor him even more. March 5, 2024
![Map showing the estimated votes remaining in Massachusetts. Dots on the map are sized proportionally to a candidate’s estimated lead in those remaining.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NGBM4BHP/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NGBM4BHP-superJumbo.png)
Alabama polls closed at 8 p.m. ET, and initial votes are coming in. We’re watching two House seats affected by redistricting. March 5, 2024
![Table with the headline "House primaries to watch in Alabama" showing the impact of redistricting on the state. Two incumbent Republicans are competing for a seat in the 1st district, and the newly drawn 2nd district could flip for the Democrats.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MP3MU1ST/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MP3MU1ST-superJumbo.jpg)
A candidate’s margin in the reported results tends to swing as different areas release votes. But our estimates still show a tight race in Vermont. March 5, 2024
![Chart showing the reported results in Vermont and our final margin estimate over time. As of 8:23 p.m. Eastern, the reported results showed Trump with a 2.8 margin, and our estimates for the final margin showed Haley up by 1.5 points.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3GMF1MH/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3GMF1MH-superJumbo.jpg)
The A.P. has called North Carolina for Trump. A call with a small share of votes reported often means it was based on polls and other data. March 5, 2024
![Graphic announcing that Donald J. Trump is the winner of the North Carolina Republican Primary.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3J0MY2E/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3J0MY2E-superJumbo.jpg)
Most Texas polls close at 8 p.m. ET, but some western counties close at 9 p.m. ET. Here are the congressional races to keep an eye on. March 5, 2024
![Table with the headline “Primaries to watch in Texas” showing the Democratic race to challenge Senator Ted Cruz in November, as well as five House races. Two house seats are in solidly red districts, one is rated solidly blue, and two districts have challengers to incumbents.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3DUMKR9/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3DUMKR9-superJumbo.jpg)
Our estimates show a very close race between Trump and Haley in Vermont. March 5, 2024
![Chart with the headline “Estimating the final vote shares for Trump and Haley” shows the range of estimates for the final vote share for each candidate. Our best estimate for Haley’s vote share in Virginia is 49 percent, but our estimates range from 36 to 62 percent.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N6050DNY/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N6050DNY-superJumbo.jpg)
![Graphic announcing that Donald J. Trump is the winner of the Virginia Republican Primary.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MNU2M92T/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MNU2M92T-superJumbo.jpg)
Polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET in North Carolina, one of five states also holding nonpresidential primaries today. Here’s what we’re watching. March 5, 2024
![Table with the headline “Primaries to watch in North Carolina” showing that there is a high profile primary for the Governor as well as for six House districts.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3DL9602/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N3DL9602-superJumbo.jpg)
The first results are in from the Republican primary in Virginia. Early returns can be misleading until an area has reported most of its votes. March 5, 2024
![Map showing the early results for the Republican presidential primary in Virginia.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/06/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MNR00XJB/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MNR00XJB-superJumbo.png)
Biden has won Iowa. The state party is releasing results from its mail-in ballot caucus. March 5, 2024
![Graphic announcing that Joseph R. Biden Jr. is the winner of the Iowa Democratic Primary.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/05/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MNGBBXQX/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MNGBBXQX-superJumbo.jpg)
We’re publishing our live estimates, known as the Needle, for the Republican presidential primaries tonight. They’ll go live when first votes are reported. March 5, 2024
![Diagram with a guide to reading our needle chart shows a chart within a table that places with our current best estimate of the final vote, between a range of estimates. These values are also listed next to the chart in the table.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/05/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NPPN1RRN/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06NPPN1RRN-superJumbo.jpg)
More than one-third of Republican delegates will be awarded tonight, but not enough for Trump, the overwhelming favorite, to win the nomination. March 5, 2024
![Chart with the headline “Republican delegates awarded Tuesday” showing the delegates awarded by each state on Tuesday, ranging from 17 delegates in Vermont to 169 delegates in California.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/05/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MUAZCVKQ/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06MUAZCVKQ-superJumbo.jpg)
Sixteen states are reporting presidential results tonight, and five also hold state primary elections today. We expect first results after 6 p.m. ET. March 5, 2024
![Map with the headline “States reporting results on Tuesday” showing the states that are reporting presidential results only (Alabama, Arkansas, California, Texas and North Carolina), and states that are reporting presidential, state and congressional races (Alaska Republican Caucus, Colorado, Iowa Democratic Caucus, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota , Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont and Virginia.) American Samoa Democrats are also holding a caucus.](https://cdn.statically.io/img/static01.nyt.com/images/2024/03/05/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N2NHCS02/election-visual-updates-%5Bproduction%5D-F06N2NHCS02-superJumbo.jpg)
Democratic Presidential Primaries and Caucuses
Results by state
Governor, Senate and Statewide Races
- The seat was previously held by Dianne Feinstein, who died in September. The winner of the general election in November will fill the seat for a regular six-year term in January.Open PrimaryAdvanced to generalGarvey and Schiff100% of votes in
- Democrats are competing to face Senator Ted Cruz — the favorite in his own primary race — in November.Dem. PrimaryAllred100% of votes inRep. PrimaryCruz100% of votes in
- North Carolina Attorney General Josh Stein, a Democrat, and Lieutenant Governor Mark Robinson, a Republican, are frontrunners in their respective primaries for this high-profile open seat.Dem. PrimaryStein100% of votes inRep. PrimaryRobinson100% of votes in
- Dem. PrimaryHunt100% of votes inRep. PrimaryAdvanced to runoffO’Neill and Weatherman100% of votes in
U.S. House
- The Republican incumbent, Jerry Carl, will face off against Barry Moore, another Republican incumbent who was drawn out of his district.Dem. PrimaryHolmesUncontestedRep. PrimaryMoore100% of votes in
- The newly redrawn district, stretching from Mobile to Montgomery, favors Democrats and could flip in November.Dem. PrimaryAdvanced to runoffDaniels and Figures100% of votes inRep. PrimaryAdvanced to runoffDobson and Brewbaker100% of votes in
- The East Bay district — one of the most Democratic in the country — is currently represented by Barbara Lee, who is running for Senate.Open PrimaryAdvanced to generalSimon and Tran100% of votes in
- The solidly Democratic Silicon Valley district is currently represented by Anna Eshoo, who is retiring.Open PrimaryAdvanced to generalLow and Liccardo100% of votes in
- The seat was left open by former House Speaker Kevin McCarthy. A separate primary election for the remainder of the current term will be held March 19.Open PrimaryAdvanced to generalFong and Boudreaux100% of votes in
- Rep. David Valadao, one of 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump in 2021, faces challenges from both the right and left.Open PrimaryAdvanced to generalValadao and Salas100% of votes in
- In this tossup district, Rep. Mike Garcia, a Republican, faces a challenge from Democrat George Whitesides, a former Virgin Galactic chief executive.Open PrimaryAdvanced to generalWhitesides and Garcia100% of votes in
- The solidly Democratic Los Angeles-area district is currently represented by Adam Schiff, who is running for Senate.Open PrimaryAdvanced to generalFriedman and Balekian100% of votes in
- Gil Cisneros, a former member of Congress, is among those vying to replace Grace Napolitano in this solidly blue Los Angeles-area district.Open PrimaryAdvanced to generalCisneros and Martinez100% of votes in
- The incumbent Republican, Ken Calvert, is in a close race with Will Rollins, a Democrat who narrowly lost the seat in 2022.Open PrimaryAdvanced to generalCalvert and Rollins100% of votes in
- Four Democrats are targeting this Orange County district, currently held by Republican Michelle Steel.Open PrimaryAdvanced to generalTran and Steel100% of votes in
- The seat, which includes Huntington Beach and Irvine, is currently held by Katie Porter, a Democrat running for Senate.Open PrimaryAdvanced to generalBaugh and Min100% of votes in
- Two Republicans are competing to face Don Davis, the incumbent Democrat, in November.Dem. PrimaryDavisUncontestedRep. PrimaryBuckhout100% of votes in
- This district, currently held by a Democrat, was redrawn, and now no Democrats are running.Rep. PrimaryMcDowell100% of votes in
- The solidly Republican seat is currently held by Dan Bishop, who is running for state attorney general.Dem. PrimaryDuesUncontestedRep. PrimaryHarris100% of votes in
- The district, currently held by Democrat Wiley Nickel, was redrawn and now favors Republicans, 14 of whom filed to run in the primary.Dem. PrimaryPierceUncontestedRep. PrimaryAdvanced to runoffKnott and Daughtry100% of votes in
- The seat is currently held by Democrat Jeff Jackson, but the district was redrawn and now favors Republicans.Dem. PrimaryGenant100% of votes inRep. PrimaryMoore100% of votes in
- Five Republicans are running in this solidly red Fort Worth-area district to replace Kay Granger, who is retiring.Dem. PrimaryHunt100% of votes inRep. PrimaryAdvanced to runoffGoldman and O’Shea100% of votes in
- Incumbent Democrat Sheila Jackson Lee, who lost a bid for Houston mayor last year, is being challenged by Amanda Edwards, a former city council member.Dem. PrimaryJackson Lee100% of votes inRep. PrimaryCentonze100% of votes in
- The Republican incumbent, Tony Gonzales, was censured by the Texas G.O.P. for votes in favor of gay marriage and gun control.Dem. PrimaryLimon100% of votes inRep. PrimaryAdvanced to runoffHerrera and Gonzales100% of votes in
- The solidly Republican North Texas seat is currently held by Michael C. Burgess, who is retiring.Dem. PrimaryLinebergerUncontestedRep. PrimaryGill100% of votes in
- The reliably Democratic Dallas-area seat is currently held by Colin Allred, who is running for Senate.Dem. PrimaryJohnson100% of votes inRep. PrimaryAdvanced to runoffBlewett and Day100% of votes in
- Mayra Flores, a far-right former congresswoman, is among those running to challenge incumbent Vicente Gonzalez in November.Dem. PrimaryGonzalezUncontestedRep. PrimaryFlores100% of votes in