California Republican Primary Election Results
Last updated May 9, 2024
California Republican Primary Election Results
Winner
Donald J. Trump wins the California Republican primary.
Race called by The Associated Press.
Republican Primary race called
| Candidate | Votes | Percent | Delegates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump | 1,962,905 | 79.2% | 169 | |
| Nikki HaleyN. HaleyHaley | 431,876 | 17.4 | No delegates | |
| Ron DeSantisR. DeSantisDeSantis | 35,717 | 1.4 | No delegates | |
| Total reported | 2,476,896 | |||
100% of delegates allocated (169 of 169) | ||||
Where votes have been reported and where votes remain
These maps show the leading candidates’ margins in the vote reported so far, and estimates for which candidate leads in the remaining votes that we expect from each place.
| County | Trump | Haley | DeSantis | Percent of votes in | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles | 77% | 19% | 2% | 100% | |
| Orange | 78 | 18 | 1 | 100% | |
| San Diego | 79 | 18 | 1 | 100% | |
| Riverside | 85 | 12 | 1 | 100% | |
| San Bernardino | 86 | 11 | 1 | 100% | |
| Sacramento | 78 | 19 | 2 | 100% | |
| Santa Clara | 69 | 26 | 2 | 100% | |
| Ventura | 78 | 19 | 1 | 100% | |
| Fresno | 82 | 14 | 2 | 100% | |
| Kern | 87 | 11 | 1 | 100% | |
| Placer | 79 | 18 | 2 | 100% | |
| Contra Costa | 71 | 25 | 2 | 100% | |
| San Joaquin | 84 | 14 | 1 | 100% | |
| Alameda | 70 | 25 | 2 | 100% | |
| Stanislaus | 85 | 12 | 1 | 100% | |
| San Luis Obispo | 78 | 19 | 1 | 100% | |
| Tulare | 86 | 11 | 1 | 100% | |
| El Dorado | 80 | 17 | 2 | 100% | |
| Shasta | 85 | 12 | 1 | 100% | |
| Santa Barbara | 76 | 21 | 2 | 100% | |
| Sonoma | 71 | 24 | 2 | 100% | |
| San Mateo | 67 | 28 | 2 | 100% | |
| Solano | 81 | 16 | 1 | 100% | |
| Butte | 83 | 15 | 1 | 100% | |
| Monterey | 75 | 21 | 1 | 100% | |
| San Francisco | 63 | 32 | 2 | 100% | |
| Merced | 86 | 11 | 1 | 100% | |
| Madera | 86 | 11 | 1 | 100% | |
| Nevada | 80 | 18 | 1 | 100% | |
| Santa Cruz | 69 | 27 | 2 | 100% | |
| Marin | 61 | 34 | 2 | 100% | |
| Yolo | 74 | 22 | 2 | 100% | |
| Sutter | 85 | 13 | 1 | 100% | |
| Humboldt | 80 | 16 | 2 | 100% | |
| Kings | 88 | 10 | 1 | 100% | |
| Napa | 72 | 23 | 2 | 100% | |
| Tehama | 88 | 10 | 1 | 100% | |
| Tuolumne | 86 | 11 | 1 | 100% | |
| Calaveras | 86 | 12 | 1 | 100% | |
| Yuba | 87 | 10 | 1 | 100% | |
| Amador | 84 | 13 | 1 | 100% | |
| Imperial | 87 | 10 | 1 | 100% | |
| Siskiyou | 85 | 12 | 1 | 100% | |
| Lake | 85 | 12 | 2 | 100% | |
| Mendocino | 80 | 16 | 1 | 100% | |
| San Benito | 82 | 15 | 1 | 100% | |
| Lassen | 89 | 9 | 1 | 100% | |
| Glenn | 87 | 11 | 1 | 100% | |
| Plumas | 82 | 15 | 1 | 100% | |
| Mariposa | 86 | 11 | 1 | 100% | |
| Del Norte | 88 | 10 | 2 | 100% | |
| Inyo | 83 | 14 | 2 | 100% | |
| Colusa | 85 | 12 | 1 | 100% | |
| Modoc | 89 | 9 | 1 | 100% | |
| Trinity | 83 | 14 | 2 | 100% | |
| Mono | 78 | 18 | 2 | 100% | |
| Sierra | 86 | 11 | 2 | 100% | |
| Alpine | 65 | 34 | 0 | 100% | |
We stopped updating our estimates. These graphics and estimates are now showing archived data.
Live forecast
This is our current best estimate for the outcome of this race. We look at the votes that have been reported so far and adjust our estimate based on what we expect from the votes that remain. Read more about how it works.
Estimated margin
Trump +51
Trump +35 to Trump +63
Estimating the final vote shares for Trump and Haley
This chart shows the range of estimates for the leading candidates’ shares of the final vote. As more votes are reported, the ranges should narrow as our statistical model becomes more confident.
How our estimates changed over time
Once a state has counted all its votes, our estimated margin and the reported margin will match. As a rule, when our estimated margin is steady in the presence of new data, our forecast is more trustworthy.
How our final margin estimate has changed so far
Share of expected turnout reported
What’s powering our forecast right now?
Our election model makes use of three indicators in creating an estimate of the final result.
Pre-election polls
25%
Our model
27%
Actual results
47%
- Pre-election polls: At the start of the night, our estimate is based on pre-election polls, results of past elections and demographic data.
- Our model: As results come in, we compare actual results in places that have mostly completed reporting to our pre-election estimates to create a statistical model for the remaining vote.
- Actual results: As a county reports more of its vote, those actual results will gradually supersede our previous estimates.
What to expect
All active registered voters were mailed a ballot, which must be postmarked by Election Day and received by March 12. Early in-person voting was also available. The Associated Press expects the state to report additional votes each weekday as mail ballots continue to be counted. As of March 13, the A.P. estimates there were around one million ballots remaining to be counted.
California is one of five states on Tuesday holding primaries for the presidential race as well as its state primary. In state and congressional primaries, candidates from all parties are listed on one ballot, and the top two vote-getters advance to the general election. In the presidential primary, Republican voters were required to be registered with their party to vote for its nominee, but Democrats and unaffiliated voters could participate in the Democratic election.
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