The most interesting thing in tech: two questions people asked me a lot today about the potential TikTok ban. First: will it get through the Senate? My instinct is the odds are maybe 55-45. There will be lots of opposition! Very few bills get through! But national security experts and China hawks will push hard. And though there are a lot of young people opposed a lot of parents and grandparents in the Senate will favor it. Second: who could buy it? It has massive value, for the users and the data. But there may be a weird situation where the government mandates a sale but the government’s anti-trust regulators block most of the potential buyers.
Hello Nicholas, leave a footnote on your locations. I find them very interesting and try to guess where they are
Excellent analysis Nicholas! I must admit I’m one of the parents who would love a Tik Tok ban!
There is an alternative to selling TikTok to some mysterious cabal of billionaires, we could incorporate it into a private/public service (using the same model applied to Cable Access television). In this context, the app could function like a utility and perhaps operate as an actual public square.
_if_ it goes though the Senste, and survives the inevitable legal battles that follow - prime candidates to buy TikTok are data brokers like LiveRamp, Equifax and Oracle (already in the mix 1st time around under trump). They’re all being squeezed hard by growing US regulation and sentiment. TikTok present a path to billions of dollars of first party data value with far less risk.
You said it towards the end: I think national pride gets in the way of this ever getting sold.
The algorithm's influence is robust and must be considered since the average user is between the ages of 18 and 34, with an important number of children under the age of 15. We absolutely must be very careful here.
Agree. It’s now a distressed asset on life support, and on borrowed time. (Unless… Elon wants to buy it! 🚀)
It doesn’t matter at all who buys TikTok just make sure you guys don’t stop singing 🎼 and dancing 🕺 there #pleaseDontStopTheMusic
Interdisciplinary story director, with research / writing / editing / planning / design expertise. Ex-Ogilvy + IBM "Smarter Planet."
3moI know where that is!