The US elections of 2024

Our coverage of the race for the White House

Latest coverage

The Kamala Harris effect on the polls has been dramatic

The latest surveys point to a tightening race

Who will be Kamala Harris’s running-mate?

She is reportedly down to six candidates


How the election will shape the Supreme Court

A second Trump administration could lock in a conservative supermajority for decades


Could the Kamala Harris boost put Florida in play for Democrats?

Some party enthusiasts think so, but realists see re-energised campaigning there as a savvy Florida feint

The southern border is Kamala Harris’s biggest political liability

What does her record reveal about her immigration policy?

Can Donald Trump win back suburban voters?

In Michigan, Republicans are selling a kinder, gentler Trumpism to college-educated voters. It isn’t sticking yet

Can Kamala Harris win?



Republicans

Where would Donald Trump and J.D. Vance take America?

The anti-globalist MAGA enthusiast is more consequential than the average veep pick

Why MAGA is the future, not just present, of the GOP

The selection of J.D. Vance means that Donald Trump’s influence may linger


Calling Donald Trump a threat to the rule of law has backfired

It strengthened him politically and led to constitutional protections for presidents, not citizens


J.D. Vance is now the heir apparent to the MAGA movement

What Donald Trump’s vice-presidential pick suggests about how he would govern

The attack on Donald Trump unleashes a flood of misinformation

The left thinks the shooting was just a performance; the right sees an inside job. Will the truth matter?

Fortunately, Donald Trump’s would-be killer failed. What next?

Politicians should try to lower the political temperature



Democrats

How to decode Kamala Harris’s foreign policy

Expect tougher words on Israel, and continuity on Russia and China

Is Kamala Harris “brat”?

America’s TikTok election just became more interesting


Joe Biden has given Democrats a second chance to win the White House

If they are not to squander it, they must have a proper contest


Joe Biden quits the race, at last. What’s next?

The embattled president has endorsed Kamala Harris, his vice-president, as his successor

The disorganisation of the Democratic rebels against Joe Biden

Why the party is failing to mount a concerted push to replace its nominee

Gretchen Whitmer would like to be America’s first woman president

Could abortion rights and “fixing the damn roads” take Michigan’s governor to the White House?



Lexington

Politics is the law in Texas

A governor’s pardon implies that courts cannot be trusted, just as Donald Trump says


Why the Republicans will convene in a forge of American socialism

Donald Trump has made gains with Wisconsin’s working class, but Joe Biden could still win there


Joe Biden is practising some Clintonian politics

But he needs to do more than crack down on “junk fees” to woo swing voters

Truth Social is a mind-bending win for Donald Trump

And disturbing evidence of how he destabilises reality for Americans

Are American progressives making themselves sad?

Conservatives seem more excited about change



What’s at stake

What the Chevron ruling means for the next US president

The Supreme Court weakened regulators and created uncertainty, inviting a “tsunami of lawsuits”

How America’s presidential debates are changing this year

Will the Trump-Biden showdowns be an institution’s last gasp, or a new start?


Five months out, Donald Trump has a clear lead

America’s presidential race is no coin flip, says our forecast


America’s billionaires should resist the urge to support Donald Trump

A Trump victory would reward them. But not enough to justify the risks



Our poll tracker and forecast model

US poll tracker

Donald Trump v Kamala Harris: what the polls say

Donald Trump has a three in four chance of winning the election

Our forecast model finds Mr Trump has a clear lead over Joe Biden


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