CSU's updated 2024 hurricane season forecast spells out increased risk for activity in Florida

I-4 BACK TOWARDS I-95 EARLIER TODAY, COLORADO STATE CAME OUT WITH ITS JULY UPDATE, UPPING THE NUMBER OF NAMED STORMS FROM 23 TO 25. HURRICANES FROM 11 TO 12, AND MAJOR HURRICANES FROM 5 TO 6. NOW, HERE’S WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW. HERE’S THE TAKEAWAY ON AVERAGE, WE HAVE AN 86% CHANCE IN THE STATE OF FLORIDA TO HAVE A LANDFALLING TROPICAL STORM. THIS YEAR, THOUGH, EVERYTHING’S ABOVE THE NORM, WHETHER IT’S THE HURRICANE OR THE CAT THREE, CHANCES ARE HIGHER THIS YEAR BECAUSE OF ALL OF THAT DYNAMICS THAT ARE IN PLAY. LA NINA, A BIG AREA OF VERY WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND THE SAHARAN DUST REALLY HASN’T DONE A WHOLE LOT THUS FAR THIS SEASON. BUT WHAT HAS DONE SOMETHING IS BARREL. BARREL HAS REALLY PUT A LITTLE DENT IN THE WATER TEMPERATURES HERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN ON INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO, AND THAT WILL ONLY LAST ABOUT 7 TO 10 DAYS. THEN WE’LL HEAT THINGS BACK UP. SO DON’T GET YOUR HOP

On the heels of record-breaking Hurricane Beryl, Colorado State University has released an updated version of its 2024 hurricane season forecast. In the updated forecast, meteorologists increased numbers related to all-season activity, including named storms and major hurricanes. In their original forecast, released in April, CSU called for 23 named storms during the 2024 season. Now, the university says they expect a couple more, at 25. So far this season, we've already seen 3 named storms: Tropical Storm Alberto, Hurricane Beryl and Tropical Storm Chris.Hurricane Beryl made history for not only being the first hurricane of the 2024 season but also for breaking records in terms of intensity. Beryl quickly strengthened into a monster Category 5 hurricane, and it happened earlier than any hurricane in history.RELATED: Hurricane Beryl broke records. Climate change is a main contributor, NOAA saysBefore Beryl, the earliest Category 5 hurricane to form was Hurricane Emily, but that wasn't even until July 16, 2005.CSU has now called for at least one additional major hurricane this season. Officials originally forecasted five major hurricanes forming during the 2024 season, but that number is now up to 6.The total number of hurricanes forecasted this season has also increased, going from 11 to 12. Though Florida did not feel many impacts from the busy June month, the trends point to above-normal activity that has the chance to affect the state later this season.Using data from CSU's updated forecast, Florida's chance of seeing a named storm within 50 miles is extremely high, at 95%. On average, this number is usually only 86%.Chances for hurricanes within 50 miles of the state are also up. The chance of any hurricane approaching Florida is at 71%, while the chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane approaching Florida is at 40%. Both probabilities have jumped to numbers much higher than the average. The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring a disturbance off Florida's coast. WATCH: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2>> Click here to read WESH 2's 2024 hurricane season forecast

ORLANDO, Fla. —

On the heels of record-breaking Hurricane Beryl, Colorado State University has released an updated version of its 2024 hurricane season forecast.

In the updated forecast, meteorologists increased numbers related to all-season activity, including named storms and major hurricanes.

#ColoradoStateUniversity came out with thier July update an to no surprise they adjusted their forecast numbers up slightly on the heels of an active #June. #Florida this means an above normal impact on all accounts for us. Stay with @WESH for updates. #weshwx pic.twitter.com/ZqP7yNf2z1
— Tony Mainolfi (@TMainolfiWESH) July 9, 2024

In their original forecast, released in April, CSU called for 23 named storms during the 2024 season. Now, the university says they expect a couple more, at 25.

So far this season, we've already seen 3 named storms: Tropical Storm Alberto, Hurricane Beryl and Tropical Storm Chris.

Hurricane Beryl made history for not only being the first hurricane of the 2024 season but also for breaking records in terms of intensity. Beryl quickly strengthened into a monster Category 5 hurricane, and it happened earlier than any hurricane in history.

Before Beryl, the earliest Category 5 hurricane to form was Hurricane Emily, but that wasn't even until July 16, 2005.

CSU has now called for at least one additional major hurricane this season. Officials originally forecasted five major hurricanes forming during the 2024 season, but that number is now up to 6.

The total number of hurricanes forecasted this season has also increased, going from 11 to 12.

WESH

Though Florida did not feel many impacts from the busy June month, the trends point to above-normal activity that has the chance to affect the state later this season.

Using data from CSU's updated forecast, Florida's chance of seeing a named storm within 50 miles is extremely high, at 95%. On average, this number is usually only 86%.

Chances for hurricanes within 50 miles of the state are also up. The chance of any hurricane approaching Florida is at 71%, while the chance of a Category 3 or higher hurricane approaching Florida is at 40%.

Both probabilities have jumped to numbers much higher than the average.

WESH

The National Hurricane Center is currently monitoring a disturbance off Florida's coast.

WATCH: Surviving the Season | 2024 Hurricane Special from WESH 2

>> Click here to read WESH 2's 2024 hurricane season forecast

CSU's updated 2024 hurricane season forecast spells out increased risk for activity in Florida

Share

Share

Share

Top Picks