2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky
Majority party
Minority party
Party
Republican
Democratic
Last election
5
1
Seats won
5
1
Seat change
Popular vote
935,564
613,040
Percentage
59.59%
39.05%
Swing
11.11%
9.77%
Election results by district Election results by county
Republican
50–60%
60–70%
70–80%
80–90%
>90%
Democratic
50–60%
60–70%
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Kentucky , one from each of the state's six congressional districts . The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate , and various state and local elections .
Popular vote
Republican
59.59%
Democratic
39.05%
Other
1.36%
House seats
Republican
83.33%
Democratic
16.67%
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Kentucky by district:[1]
2018 Kentucky's 1st congressional district election
County resultsComer: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%
Incumbent Republican James Comer , who had represented the district since 2016, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+23.
Paul Walker, professor[2]
Eliminated in primary [ edit ]
Alonzo Pennington, musician[3]
2018 Kentucky's 2nd congressional district election
County resultsGuthrie: 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%
Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie , who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+19.
Hank Linderman, musician[4]
Eliminated in primary [ edit ]
Brian Pedigo, teacher and farmer[5]
Rane Eir Olivia Sessions, veteran and former intern for William D. Ford [6]
Grant Short pilot, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 [7]
2018 Kentucky's 3rd congressional district election
County resultYarmuth: 60–70%
Incumbent Democrat John Yarmuth , who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with %63 of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of D+6.
Vickie Yates Glisson, lawyer and former state health secretary[8]
Eliminated in primary [ edit ]
Mike Craven, Ford worker
Rhonda Palazzo, realtor
2018 Kentucky's 4th congressional district election
County resultsMassie: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%
Incumbent Republican Thomas Massie , who had represented the district since 2012, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+18.
Seth Hall, health insurance worker
Eliminated in primary [ edit ]
Christina Lord[9]
Patti Piatt, business executive[10]
2018 Kentucky's 5th congressional district election
County resultsRogers: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%
Incumbent Republican Hal Rogers , who had represented the district since 1981, ran for re-election. He was re-elected unopposed in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+31.
Eliminated in primary [ edit ]
Eliminated in primary [ edit ]
2018 Kentucky's 6th congressional district election
County resultsBarr: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% McGrath: 50–60%
Incumbent Republican Andy Barr , who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2016. The district had a PVI of R+9.
Eliminated in primary [ edit ]
Eliminated in primary [ edit ]
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee included Kentucky's 6th congressional district on its initial list of Republican-held seats considered targets in 2018.[16] [17] McGrath's campaign announcement video, entitled "Told Me" where she spoke of her navy service (being the first female Marine to fly an F-18 in combat), attracted much national attention.[18] [19] [20]
The DCCC opted to support Jim Gray in the primary.[21] [22]
Jim Gray
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Amy McGrath
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Reggie Thomas
Individuals
Nancy Jo Kemper, former executive director of the Kentucky Council of Churches and nominee for this seat in 2016
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Jim Gray
Amy McGrath
Reggie Thomas
Other
Undecided
Garin Hart Yang (D-McGrath)
April 17–19, 2018
400
±5.0%
35%
42%
6%
3%
14%
Mellman Group (D-Gray)
March 3–6, 2018
400
±4.9%
52%
19%
6%
—
23%
County results McGrath—60–70%
McGrath—50–60%
McGrath—40–50%
Gray—50–60%
Andy Barr (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Amy McGrath (D)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Graphical summary
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Andy Barr (R)
Amy McGrath (D)
Other
Undecided
NYT Upshot/Siena College
November 1–4, 2018
438
± 4.9%
44%
44%
2%
10%
Public Opinion Strategies (R-Barr)
October 6–8, 2018
400
± 4.9%
48%
46%
–
–
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)
September 30 – October 2, 2018
501
± 4.5%
44%
51%
–
–
Pulse Opinion Research
September 12–17, 2018
600
± 4.0%
47%
47%
2%
3%
NYT Upshot/Siena College
September 6–8, 2018
506
± 4.9%
47%
46%
–
7%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R-CLF)
September 4–6, 2018
400
± 4.9%
49%
45%
–
6%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)
July 7–10, 2018
461
± 4.6%
43%
50%
–
7%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R-CLF)
June 6–7, 2018
400
± 4.9%
38%
51%
–
11%
DCCC (D)
April 30–May 2, 2018
508
± 4.4%
37%
52%
–
8%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group (D-McGrath)
February 5–7, 2018
401
± 5.0%
48%
44%
–
–
Hypothetical polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Andy Barr (R)
Generic Democrat
Other
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)
February 12–13, 2018
662
± 3.8%
42%
44%
–
14%
^ Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018" . Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives . Retrieved April 27, 2019 .
^ reports, New Era staff. "Murray man to run for congress, challenge Comer" . Kentucky New Era . Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ "Can Alonzo Pennington Thumbpick His Way into Congress?" . LA Progressive . March 10, 2018. Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ "Hank Linderman running for Congress" . TRISTATEHOMEPAGE . January 31, 2018. Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ "Danville hosts first public forum for Democratic congressional candidates | The Advocate-Messenger" . www.amnews.com . February 22, 2018. Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ By, WES SWIETEK. "Third Democrat files to challenge Guthrie" . Bowling Green Daily News . Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ "Four good Democratic candidates for Kentucky's Second District | The Advocate-Messenger" . www.amnews.com . February 24, 2018. Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ "Kentucky Health Official Running for Congress | NewsRadio 840 WHAS" . NewsRadio 840 WHAS . Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ "Here is the list of candidates for 4th Congressional District and KY House, Senate, from the region | NKyTribune" . www.nkytribune.com . January 31, 2018. Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ "Massie Challenger Looks to Paint a Red District Blue" . CityBeat Cincinnati . Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ "McGrath will launch first campaign commercial during UK basketball game" . Spectrum News . Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ Arroyo, Emilie. "Lexington mayor Jim Gray files to run for Congress" . Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ "Theodore David Green" . Archived from the original on April 14, 2018. Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ Staff, WKYT News. "State Senator Reggie Thomas to run for Congress" . Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ "Geoff Young continues suit against Kentucky Democratic Party, even as he seeks its nomination | The State Journal" . www.state-journal.com . Retrieved April 14, 2018 .
^ Cheney, Kyle (January 30, 2017). "Amid Democratic doldrums, DCCC identifies 2018 targets" . Politico . Retrieved February 11, 2017 .
^ Sena, Dan (January 30, 2017). "House Democrats Playing Offense" (PDF) . Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee . Retrieved February 11, 2017 .
^ Kurtzleben, Danielle (August 3, 2017). "Female Retired Marine With Viral Campaign Ad Hopes To Bridge Gap In Democratic Party" . NPR .
^ Desrochers, Daniel (June 19, 2017). "His blog inflamed Kentucky politics a decade ago. Now he's back" . Lexington Herald-Leader .
^ Puckett, Jeffrey Lee (August 3, 2017). "Kentucky combat veteran Amy McGrath is going viral with a video announcing Congressional run" . The Courier-Journal .
^ Murphy, Tim (May 22, 2018). "As a kid, she petitioned Congress for the right to fly fighter planes. Now she's gunning for a seat of her own" . Mother Jones .
^ Tackett, Michael (January 29, 2018). "From Annapolis to Congress? These Three Women Know Tough Missions" . The New York Times .
^ "United Steelworkers Endorse Jim Gray for Congress" . jimgraycongress.co . Jim Gray for Congress. April 18, 2018. Archived from the original on May 24, 2018. Retrieved July 20, 2023 .
^ Elliot Imse (January 23, 2018). "23 more LGBTQ champions for equality endorsed by Victory Fund" . victoryfund.org/ . Victory Fund PAC. Retrieved July 20, 2023 .
^ Herald-Leader editorial board (May 13, 2018). "Jim Gray for 6th District Democrats" . kentucky.com . Lexington Herald-Leader. Archived from the original on May 13, 2018. Retrieved July 20, 2023 .
^ a b Bradner, Eric (May 21, 2018). "Democratic primary in Kentucky pits openly gay mayor against female fighter pilot" . CNN .
^ a b Roarty, Alex (August 9, 2017). "Rising Dem star Moulton grants seal of approval to three House candidates" . The News & Observer .
^ a b "VoteVets PAC Endorses Amy McGrath for Congress" . VoteVets.org . Archived from the original on July 8, 2018. Retrieved July 8, 2018 .
^ a b "Our Candidates: Amy McGrath KY-6 (D)" . With Honor . Archived from the original on November 14, 2018. Retrieved July 8, 2018 .
^ Donald J. Trump. "Heading to the Great State of Kentucky - Big Rally for Congressman Andy Barr - Fantastic guy, need his vote for MAGA! Strong on Crime, Tax Cuts, Military, Vets & 2nd A. His opponent will NEVER vote for us, only for Pelosi. Andy has my Strongest Endorsement!!! See you in Kentucky" . Twitter .
^ "Red to Blue" . dccc.org/ . DCCC. Archived from the original on October 31, 2018. Retrieved July 20, 2023 .
^ "2018 House Race Ratings" . Cook Political Report . Retrieved October 30, 2018 .
^ "2018 House Ratings" . The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018 .
^ "2018 House" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved November 5, 2018 .
^ "Battle for the House 2018" . RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018 .
^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings" . Daily Kos . Retrieved November 5, 2018 .[permanent dead link ]
^ Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast" . FiveThirtyEight . Retrieved November 6, 2018 .
Official campaign websites
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