Thursday’s MLB game odds, best bets: Best and worst starting pitchers, playoff odds, props and more

SEATTLE, WA - JULY 06: J.P. Crawford #3 of the Seattle Mariners strikes out during the first inning of game against the Toronto Blue Jaysat T-Mobile Park on July 6, 2024 in Seattle, Washington. (Photo by Stephen Brashear/Getty Images)
By Derek Carty
Jul 11, 2024

Welcome to today’s MLB projections, your guide for daily baseball bets. Powered by Derek Carty’s THE BAT X, you’ll find up-to-the-minute MLB odds, projections, best bets and top picks each day. We even have the day’s hottest and coolest game temperatures.

Carty’s EV Analytics considers everything from best odds value to the lines with the most movement. There are updated projected records for all 30 MLB teams below the game projections, along with playoff and World Series likelihoods. All the odds you see are from BetMGM.

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What are THE BAT X projections?

In the tables below, you’ll see details for each MLB matchup, then a lot of numbers (which are updated all day):

  • “Moneyline” shows each team’s odds on BetMGM.
  • “Implied Win%” is the chance a team has to win based on those BetMGM odds.
  • “THE BAT X win%” is the chance a team has to win based on EV Analytics’ projections.
  • “Cash Line” is how THE BAT X would price each team’s odds.
  • “Value” is the percentage difference between the odds chances and our projections.

The higher the value percentage, the better — which you can easily see from the color coding from red (bad pick) through to green (good pick).

Note: On mobile, you may have to scroll to see the color-coded “Value” column on the far right of the first set of tables.

Another note: If you’re seeing old data or the tables aren’t showing up, you may need to “hard refresh” this page, or you may have an ad blocker or other software blocking the tables from loading.

You can buy tickets to every MLB game here.

(Photo of J.P. Crawford: Stephen Brashear / Getty Images)

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Derek Carty was a contributor to The Athletic, covering MLB. He is the creator of THE BAT X and THE BLITZ projection systems for MLB and NFL, respectively. He is also affiliated with EV Analytics (for sports betting), RotoGrinders (for DFS) and ESPN (for season-long fantasy), among many others past and present. He was previously a regular on ESPN's "Baseball Tonight," is a three-time LABR expert league champion, and is a graduate of MLB's Scout School.