I always get excited by research advances like this. Simultaneously, I can't get a nagging thought out of my head. Is anyone else skeptical that decarbonizing cement will actually happen in a globally meaningful way?
It's hard to believe it could be replaced for any kind of construction above a few stories. Easy to use, widespread labor force trained to apply it, known risks and liabilities for insurance and loans, well-established industry standards on quality, etc...
There's a limit to how far it could be decarbonized with additives -- maybe 20%? 30%?
The idea that a supply chain involving shipping tons of demolished concrete to recycling centers will come into existence at scale feels unrealistic. What would be the unit economics necessary for covering those costs?
The cost of construction in the 21st century post-pandemic is already considered to be extremely high, where would the recurring revenues be coming from to sustain this activity or the political will to make building even more expensive?
As an industry, my best guess is that alternatives could be found for buildings one or two stories tall, and concrete could be phased out for those uses. Compressed earth blocks, mass timber, and other fast-growing woods seem like possibilities.
For the rest, I don't see why business as usual won't continue indefinitely and be balanced through some form of carbon offsets unrelated to cement manufacturing like planting trees or carbon credits where those markets exist.
#sustainability #cement #recycling #circulareconomy #construction #building
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