Ben Lakoff, CFA’s Post

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Entrepreneur | Investor

People love to forecast. 🔮 I read and aggregated 16 of the top 2024 (crypto market) Predictions so you don't have to. The TLDR? Most people are bullish. 🐂 Bullish on crypto, bullish on institutional adoption (via BTC ETF, then likely ETH ETF)... it feels “consensus” that 2024 will be a good year for crypto. Yes, this is a subset of very much crypto-native firms, but whenever everyone agrees that “it’s a bull market” the market has… a tendency to inflict pain. I’m bullish too. At times it’s easier to predict where we’re going, but it’s much harder to predict when it’ll happen. I agree we will likely be in a good spot at EOY’24 - both in terms of price and working through the backlog of building and shipping… But, maybe over we’re a bit over our skis? Is sentiment is too good relative to what has happened? BTC ETF inflows likely aren’t linear at $1B in inflows each year. What catalyst brings in retail again? People tend to OVER estimate what will happen in 2 years and UNDER estimate what will happen in 10 years. Things don’t go up in a straight line. You can scroll through the summary and the individual reports, but common trends observed in predictions would include being pretty bullish on: - Bitcoin  - Bitcoin DeFi (L2s, Ordinals, etc.) - DePin - Solana - Restaking (e.g. EigenLayer) - Crypto x AI (e.g. Vitalik’s new article) - Stablecoins / CBDCs (below) Keep in mind: the consensus is normally wrong and doesn’t lead to outperformance. People don’t have a crystal ball. Read the full report here: https://lnkd.in/gGWse5nh

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Nataniel Elkaim

Partner @v3ntures I Founders & Investors at PBW

5mo

It’s hard to ignore the crowd, it’s even harder to be a contrarian 🤝

Nick P.

Keynote Speaker and Consultant on Tokenisation of RWA. Advisor to Central Banks on CBDCs & GB(Gold Backed)-CBDCs. Founder of Bank of Bullion & Clinq.Gold

5mo

Great breakdown of the crypto prediction landscape! It's definitely interesting to see the bullish consensus, especially on institutional adoption like ETFs.

Paul Taylor

Web3 Advisor & Investor

5mo

Great stuff, Ben. Appreciate you compiling this

Dave Rodman

Lawyer | Cryptocurrency and Blockchain | Cannabis | IP | Securities | Entrepreneur | Investor

5mo

Happy to sponsor this particular report. It is an invaluable tool in the web3 venture ecosystem. Well done Ben!

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