Stephen Bush, the award-winning columnist who writes the daily Inside Politics newsletter, led an FT subscriber webinar on the factors that will shape the UK’s 2024 general election. 

After the disastrous brief tenure of Liz Truss and the scandals that brought down Boris Johnson, new Conservative prime minister Rishi Sunak eased relations with the EU, while his chancellor Jeremy Hunt produced a Budget ‘for growth’. The April 19 2023 panel — which also included public policy editor Peter Foster, deputy comment editor Miranda Green, and Oxford political scientist Jane Green — asked whether victory was no longer guaranteed for the opposition Labour party, which in the turmoil of 2022 gained a 20-point lead in the polls. What unexpected economic or geopolitical shocks might disrupt any scenario-planning? 

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