Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:11PM EDT on Aug 06, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$607,620,156 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎50.6-52.6%$512,595,205
Betfair 🇬🇧51.8-52.1%$56,731,018
PredictIt 🇺🇸46.4-47.3%$32,533,384
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.5-52.6%$5,762,393

50.6%

-1.6%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎45.2-45.5%$512,595,205
Betfair 🇬🇧44.8-45.2%$56,731,018
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.2-52.1%$32,533,384
Smarkets 🇬🇧43.9-45.5%$5,762,393

46.7%

2.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.7%$512,595,205
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$56,731,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$5,762,393

0.8%

-0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.7%$512,595,205
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$56,731,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$5,762,393

0.7%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$512,595,205
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$56,731,018
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-1.9%$32,533,384
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$5,762,393

0.4%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$512,595,205
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.3%$56,731,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$5,762,393

0.3%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$512,595,205
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$56,731,018
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$32,533,384
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$5,762,393

0.3%

-0.3%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$56,731,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$5,762,393

0.1%

+0.0%

0.1%
Electoral Votes 2024 (estimate: 270-268. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:43PM EDT on Aug 06, 2024
Over $1 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
DEM VP NomineeDemocrat Vice Presidential Nominee in 2024

$163,661,756 bet so far
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎99.9-100.0%$128,205,809
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.0-99.0%$33,593,446
Betfair 🇬🇧96.9-97.9%$1,865,771

98.6%

67.9%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$128,205,809
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$33,593,446
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$1,865,771

0.4%

0.3%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$128,205,809
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$33,593,446
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$1,865,771

0.2%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$128,205,809
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$33,593,446
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,865,771

0.2%

-0.5%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$128,205,809
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$33,593,446
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,865,771

0.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$128,205,809
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$33,593,446
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-3.5%$1,865,771

0.1%

-60.7%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$128,205,809

0.1%

+0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$128,205,809
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$33,593,446
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,865,771

0.0%

-0.0%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$128,205,809
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$33,593,446
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,865,771

0.0%

-1.1%
Kelly details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$128,205,809
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$33,593,446
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,865,771

0.0%

-1.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$128,205,809
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$33,593,446
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,865,771

0.0%

-0.5%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$128,205,809
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$33,593,446
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,865,771

0.0%

-0.3%

0.3%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
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"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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