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Good point, although not what I was interested in. Clarified the question.– ProbablyCommented Jul 5 at 14:14
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4@Probably you're looking at demographics but those take second place to traditional power bases and FPTP weaknesses. If you want to get rid of your current MP, you vote for the party who came second last time– SeparatrixCommented Jul 5 at 14:57
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Makes sense but I assume it's not random which party came second– ProbablyCommented Jul 6 at 6:37
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@Probably generally it's the guys who came first a while further back.– hobbsCommented Jul 6 at 6:41
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1@Probably you just need to go back further in time. The Lib Dems are one of the descendants of the old Liberal (Whig) party against whom Labour are the new upstarts. In a more modern sense, where Labour and the Conservatives don't have a fundamental core demographic it's a more open race, and the Lib Dems have the best campaigners on the ground. They also hold a lot of the local councils in the regions where they've now taken the parlimentary seat.– SeparatrixCommented Jul 8 at 11:05
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