NBER BCDC key indicators, alternative indicators, weekly indicators:
Recession Indicator Sit-Rep
Leave a reply
NBER BCDC key indicators, alternative indicators, weekly indicators:
From CME:
Consumers, CEO’s, or economists?
Recent vs. 2008 and 2001 recessions.
10 year Treasury yields are down 40 bps over the week.
Here’s a picture of some key indicators followed by the NBER BCDC, along with monthly GDP:
NFP comes under, 114K vs. 176K consensus. Private NFP also missed, +97K vs. +148K consensus.
From PredictIt on the Presidential Election Winner, 54 Dem / 48 Rep: